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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cibao
AA

Bermuda
2 - 1
Antigua

Drew (8'), Lambe (48')
Twite (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Massicot (69')
Drew (74'), Everton John Gonsalves (90+1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 3-2 Dominica
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-0 Antigua
Tuesday, October 15 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bermuda in this match.

Result
BermudaDrawAntigua and Barbuda
48.51% (0.127 0.13) 21.27% (0.143 0.14) 30.21% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 69.36% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.42% (-0.89 -0.89)29.57% (0.885 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.32% (-1.085 -1.09)50.67% (1.081 1.08)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.285 -0.28)12.89% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (-0.583 -0.58)39.29% (0.58 0.58)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)20.37% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-0.947 -0.95)52.77% (0.944 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Bermuda 48.51%
    Antigua and Barbuda 30.21%
    Draw 21.27%
BermudaDrawAntigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.215 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.76% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 8.56% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.53% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.136 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bermuda 3-2 Dominica
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominica 1-6 Bermuda
Saturday, October 12 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 2-3 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, September 7 at 4pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 1-6 Honduras
Monday, June 10 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-0 Antigua
Tuesday, October 15 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-5 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, October 12 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominica 2-1 Antigua
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-0 Antigua
Sunday, June 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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