SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Dominica win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Dominica |
40.61% ( -0.23) | 23.04% ( 0) | 36.35% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.83% ( 0.03) | 36.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.04) | 58.29% ( -0.03) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.08) | 18.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.51% ( -0.15) | 49.49% ( 0.15) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( 0.13) | 20.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.31% ( 0.2) | 52.7% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Dominica |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.35% |
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