SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 76.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.78%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Dominican Republic |
8.9% ( -1.66) | 14.39% ( -2.06) | 76.7% ( 3.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.37% ( 4.9) | 32.62% ( -4.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( 5.47) | 54.29% ( -5.47) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( 0.13) | 44.56% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.42% ( 0.1) | 80.58% ( -0.11) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.02% ( 1.94) | 6.97% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.45% ( 4.93) | 25.55% ( -4.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 2-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.9% | 1-1 @ 6.69% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.88)Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.39% | 0-2 @ 11.01% ( -0.63) 0-3 @ 9.78% ( 0.4)1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.47)0-1 @ 8.28% ( -1.36)1-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.35)0-4 @ 6.51% ( 0.84)1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0.7)0-5 @ 3.47% ( 0.73)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.6)2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.29)0-6 @ 1.54% ( 0.44)1-6 @ 1.24% ( 0.36)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.24)Other @ 3.53% Total : 76.7% |
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