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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Bermuda National Stadium
SV
Bermuda
3 - 1
St Vincent & Gr.
Tucker (6'), Crichlow (43'), Parfitt-Williams (49')
Findlay (19'), Bean (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McBurnette (33')
Burgin (18'), Sutherland (74'), Barnum-Bobb (86')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 1-1 Belize
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 3-2 St Vincent & Gr.
Tuesday, October 17 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result
BermudaDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
49.19% (-0.726 -0.73) 24.56% (0.242 0.24) 26.25% (0.48 0.48)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (-0.666 -0.67)47.92% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-0.617 -0.62)70.1% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)19.52% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (-0.912 -0.91)51.41% (0.907 0.91)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.44% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)68.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bermuda 49.18%
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 26.25%
    Draw 24.56%
BermudaDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.115 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.18%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 26.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bermuda 1-1 Belize
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 0-1 Bermuda
Saturday, October 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 4-3 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 0-0 French Guiana
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 3-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 0-2 Guyana
Saturday, March 25 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 3-2 St Vincent & Gr.
Tuesday, October 17 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-4 French Guiana
Friday, October 13 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 4-3 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-2 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-1 Bahamas
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

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