SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
49.19% ( -0.73) | 24.56% ( 0.24) | 26.25% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.67) | 47.92% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -0.62) | 70.1% ( 0.61) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( -0.56) | 19.52% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( -0.91) | 51.41% ( 0.91) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.03) | 32.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 0.04) | 68.96% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.25% |
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