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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
PN

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Panama


Mitchell (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fajardo (66' pen.)
Fajardo (18'), Carrasquilla (41'), Mosquera (79'), Cordoba (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Costa Rica 2-1 Panama

This feels like a real 50-50 clash with Costa Rica much improved since their last showdown with Panama. Having build up a head of steam during qualifying, we are backing the home side to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
45.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.41% (0.0040000000000013 0) 30.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)44.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.16% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 45.49%
    Panama 30.1%
    Draw 24.41%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, September 10 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 6 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 5-0 Panama
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-3 Panama
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America


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