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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 2am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
PN

Costa Rica
1 - 2
Panama

Suarez (90+1')
Alcocer (15'), Azofeifa (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fajardo (23'), Joel Barcenas (68')
Godoy (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1.15am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama

While there should be a few familiar faces for Los Ticos, they will be fielding a relatively inexperienced squad at this tournament, and although that might benefit these youngsters down the road, we believe that a lack of cohesion will prove to be their demise on Monday. Los Canaleros, meanwhile, have developed plenty of chemistry, plus their physicality and solid defensive shape should make life difficult for a Costa Rican squad without many chance creators. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
41.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.29% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.57% (0.037000000000006 0.04)61.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.68% (0.026 0.03)81.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02)65.42% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)36.49% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)73.28% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 41.03%
    Panama 30.29%
    Draw 28.66%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 30.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1.15am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-4 Germany
Thursday, December 1 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Costa Rica
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-2 Canada
Friday, June 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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