SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
44.1% ( -0.96) | 24.02% ( -0.04) | 31.88% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 0.6) | 42.2% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( 0.6) | 64.61% ( -0.6) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.17) | 19.36% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -0.27) | 51.14% ( 0.27) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.91) | 25.59% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( 1.23) | 60.46% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.88% |
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