SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
48.57% ( 2.96) | 26.77% ( -0.07) | 24.66% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.37% ( -1.54) | 57.63% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.6% ( -1.24) | 78.4% ( 1.24) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 0.72) | 23.8% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( 1.03) | 57.97% ( -1.03) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( -3.33) | 39.09% ( 3.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( -3.28) | 75.81% ( 3.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( 1.03) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.93)2-1 @ 9% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.63)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.31)Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.66% |
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