SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
46.29% ( 0.27) | 28.54% ( -0.19) | 25.18% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.55) | 63.16% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( 0.39) | 82.58% ( -0.39) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.4) | 27.43% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( 0.52) | 62.91% ( -0.52) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.24) | 41.75% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.78% ( 0.21) | 78.22% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 1-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.18% |
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