SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Curacao | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | El Salvador | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Curacao | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | El Salvador | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martinique in this match.
| Result | ||
| Martinique | Draw | Curacao |
42.09% ( -15.61) | 25.5% ( 2.62) | 32.4% ( 12.98) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( 3.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.66) | 48.68% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.6) | 70.8% ( 0.6) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( -6.63) | 23% ( 6.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -10.8) | 56.8% ( 10.79) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 10.43) | 28.42% ( -10.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( 11.41) | 64.17% ( -11.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Martinique | Draw | Curacao |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -1.9) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.97)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -3.35)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -1.59)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -2.82)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -1.09)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -1.57)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 1.2) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.93)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 2.21) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 2.46)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 2.33)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 1.57)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.88)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1.27)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.62)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.4% |
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