SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Curacao |
83.47% ( -0.04) | 11.14% ( 0.04) | 5.39% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.21) | 30.67% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48% ( -0.25) | 52% ( 0.25) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( -0.04) | 5.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.14) | 20.92% ( 0.14) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.15) | 52.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.63% ( -0.1) | 86.37% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Curacao |
| 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 83.46% | 1-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 11.14% | 0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.39% |
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