SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.14%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Canada |
11.52% ( -0.3) | 20.36% ( -0.06) | 68.12% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 40.87% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.44) | 52.07% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.38) | 73.8% ( 0.38) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.71% ( -0.79) | 52.29% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.8% ( -0.52) | 86.19% ( 0.52) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.03) | 14.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.82% ( -0.07) | 42.18% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.52% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 14.56% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 14.14% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 9.16% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 68.11% |
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