SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 2 | -9 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 2 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.11%) and 3-0 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
78.02% ( -1.68) | 15.77% ( 0.31) | 6.21% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 32.99% ( 6.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( 4.06) | 49.58% ( -4.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( 3.53) | 71.61% ( -3.53) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% ( 0.64) | 10.76% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.26% ( 1.4) | 34.75% ( -1.4) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.97% ( 6.96) | 63.03% ( -6.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.88% ( 2.84) | 92.13% ( -2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 2-0 @ 16.85% ( -1.96) 1-0 @ 15.11% ( -2.21)3-0 @ 12.52% ( -1.1)2-1 @ 7.78% ( 1.07)4-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.92)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.58)5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.47)6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 78.01% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.8) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -1.19)2-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.6)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.77% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.51)Other @ 1.47% Total : 6.21% |
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