SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| French Guiana | Draw | Nicaragua |
52.79% ( -0.08) | 23.43% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.09) | 45.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.09) | 67.55% ( 0.09) |
| French Guiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.06) | 17.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( -0.11) | 47.3% ( 0.12) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( -0.01) | 33.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( -0.01) | 69.62% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| French Guiana | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.78% |
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