SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 2.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nicaragua | Draw | Montserrat |
89.32% ( 0.02) | 7.69% ( -0.01) | 2.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.07) | 25.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.09) | 45.51% ( -0.09) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.52% ( 0.01) | 3.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.84% ( 0.04) | 15.16% ( -0.04) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.26% ( 0.04) | 58.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10% ( 0.02) | 89.99% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nicaragua | Draw | Montserrat |
| 3-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 10.83% 5-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 89.31% | 1-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 7.69% | 0-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 2.99% |
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