SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
58.5% ( 0.12) | 22.63% ( -0.07) | 18.88% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( 0.22) | 47.71% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( 0.2) | 69.9% ( -0.2) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.12) | 15.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.7% ( 0.21) | 45.3% ( -0.21) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.08) | 39.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 0.07) | 75.97% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 58.48% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.88% |
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