SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 5.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.93%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahamas | Draw | Puerto Rico |
5.87% ( -0.11) | 12.27% ( -0.27) | 81.86% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.92) | 34.44% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.64% ( 1.03) | 56.36% ( -1.03) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.16% ( 0.34) | 53.84% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.82% ( 0.21) | 87.18% ( -0.2) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.65% ( 0.26) | 6.35% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.15% ( 0.72) | 23.85% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahamas | Draw | Puerto Rico |
| 1-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.87% | 1-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 12.27% | 0-2 @ 12.99% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 11.93% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 8.23% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 4.54% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 2.81% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 2.08% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.17% Total : 81.85% |
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