Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barbados in this match.
Result | ||
Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Barbados |
37.24% ( -2.54) | 24.5% ( 0.65) | 38.26% ( 1.89) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( -2.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( -3.09) | 43.29% ( 3.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( -3.12) | 65.68% ( 3.12) |
Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( -2.62) | 23.06% ( 2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( -3.99) | 56.89% ( 3.99) |
Barbados Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( -0.42) | 22.54% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( -0.63) | 56.12% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Barbados |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.26% |
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