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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 26, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
BN

Antigua
1 - 2
Barbados

Weston (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gale (62'), James (87')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Antigua
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Cuba
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barbados in this match.

Result
Antigua and BarbudaDrawBarbados
37.24% (-2.542 -2.54) 24.5% (0.653 0.65) 38.26% (1.89 1.89)
Both teams to score 59.6% (-2.357 -2.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-3.09 -3.09)43.29% (3.091 3.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-3.117 -3.12)65.68% (3.118 3.12)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-2.615 -2.62)23.06% (2.617 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-3.992 -3.99)56.89% (3.994 3.99)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)22.54% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.626 -0.63)56.12% (0.627 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Antigua and Barbuda 37.24%
    Barbados 38.26%
    Draw 24.5%
Antigua and BarbudaDrawBarbados
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.446 0.45)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.53 0.53)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.676 0.68)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.293 0.29)
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.922 0.92)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.622 0.62)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.277 0.28)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Antigua
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 3-1 Antigua
Sunday, June 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-2 Cuba
Friday, June 10 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 1-0 Guadeloupe
Monday, June 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 3-0 Antigua
Wednesday, June 9 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Antigua 1-0 Grenada
Friday, June 4 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Cuba
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 Barbados
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 Barbados
Friday, February 24 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Grenada 1-1 Barbados
Wednesday, February 22 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Guadeloupe
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League


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