Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
