SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 11.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | Bahamas |
74.2% ( -0.93) | 14.25% ( 0.41) | 11.54% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 63.94% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.61) | 22.94% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.81% ( -0.83) | 42.18% ( 0.82) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( -0.28) | 5.31% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.09% ( -0.81) | 20.91% ( 0.81) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.31) | 32.46% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( 0.35) | 68.99% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | Bahamas |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 6% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.15)5-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)6-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.47% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 14.25% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.34% Total : 11.54% |
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