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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 25, 2023 at 12am UK
 
SV

Nicaragua
4 - 1
St Vincent & Gr.

Smith (3'), Barrera (42'), Belli Moldskred (60'), Flores (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edwards (18' pen.)
Matthias (1'), Edwards (29')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Nicaragua and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Nicaragua
Sunday, November 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-5 Grenada
Saturday, October 1 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
76.61% (-0.651 -0.65) 14.85% (0.329 0.33) 8.53% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.76% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-0.473 -0.47)36.48% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-0.518 -0.52)58.62% (0.517 0.52)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.13% (-0.248 -0.25)7.87% (0.2459 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.13% (-0.631 -0.63)27.87% (0.629 0.63)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.84% (0.41 0.41)48.15% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.65% (0.296 0.3)83.34% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 76.6%
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 8.53%
    Draw 14.85%
NicaraguaDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.37% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.105 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 4.82% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.35% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.42% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 76.6%
1-1 @ 7.04% (0.157 0.16)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.27% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 14.85%
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.57% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 8.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Nicaragua
Sunday, November 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Nicaragua
Thursday, November 10 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Ghana
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Suriname 2-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, September 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-5 Grenada
Saturday, October 1 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Grenada 1-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Saturday, September 24 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 4-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Tuesday, June 14 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 0-2 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, June 10 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-2 Nicaragua
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bahamas 1-0 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, June 3 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League


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