Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
Result | ||
Nicaragua | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
76.61% ( -0.65) | 14.85% ( 0.33) | 8.53% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( -0.47) | 36.48% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.37% ( -0.52) | 58.62% ( 0.52) |
Nicaragua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.13% ( -0.25) | 7.87% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.13% ( -0.63) | 27.87% ( 0.63) |
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.84% ( 0.41) | 48.15% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.65% ( 0.3) | 83.34% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Nicaragua | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 76.6% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.85% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 8.53% |
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