SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
29.4% ( 0.38) | 24.16% ( 0.09) | 46.44% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( -0.2) | 44.05% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( -0.2) | 66.43% ( 0.2) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 0.16) | 28.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( 0.2) | 63.77% ( -0.2) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.28) | 19.12% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( -0.46) | 50.75% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.4% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.44% |
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