SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
71.98% ( 0.49) | 16.81% ( -0.36) | 11.21% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( 1.35) | 37.35% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( 1.44) | 59.56% ( -1.43) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( 0.46) | 9.1% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% ( 1.09) | 30.92% ( -1.09) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.6% ( 0.67) | 43.4% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.37% ( 0.55) | 79.63% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.42)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.97% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 1% Total : 16.81% | 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.21% |
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