SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Peru |
51.07% ( 0.99) | 28.07% ( -0.21) | 20.86% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 39.38% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.02) | 64.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% ( 0.02) | 83.63% ( -0.02) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.48) | 25.76% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( 0.65) | 60.71% ( -0.65) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.82) | 46.95% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.55% ( -0.63) | 82.45% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Salvador | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 16.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 51.06% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.86% |
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