SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
50.16% ( 0.53) | 23.95% ( -0.1) | 25.89% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( 0.12) | 45.56% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.11) | 67.89% ( -0.11) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.25) | 18.22% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( 0.43) | 49.24% ( -0.42) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( -0.27) | 31.48% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( -0.32) | 67.86% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.89% |
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