SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | El Salvador |
14.91% ( -1.08) | 20.29% ( 0.27) | 64.81% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -3.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( -3.4) | 44.5% ( 3.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( -3.38) | 66.87% ( 3.38) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( -3.52) | 42.26% ( 3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.34% ( -3.18) | 78.66% ( 3.19) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( -0.8) | 12.97% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% ( -1.66) | 39.46% ( 1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.91% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.29% | 0-2 @ 11.43% ( 0.98) 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 1.26)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.41)0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.8% |
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