Palmeiras
2 - 0
Athletico PR

(Palmeiras win 4-2 on aggregate)

Rafael (50'), Danilo (88')
Ferreira (64')
Ferreira (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Palmeiras and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Athletico Paranaense (Palmeiras to win 4-3 on aggregate)

Despite the tie being level, there will be a sense of a missed opportunity from Athletico PR's perspective. With that in mind, we feel that Palmeiras may just do enough in normal time to secure yet another piece of silverware, capitalising on the momentum built last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
50.04%	23.25%	26.71%

Both teams to score 59.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28%

41.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88%

64.12%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.8%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18%

28.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.67%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 50.04%

Athletico Paranaense 26.71%

Draw 23.25%

Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.71%