Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
