Chelsea
2 - 1
Palmeiras

Lukaku (55'), Havertz (117' pen.)
Havertz (118')

FT
(aet)

Veiga (64' pen.)
Wesley (105'), Garcia (115'), Atuesta (116')
Garcia (120+6')

Build‑up

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The Match

Historically, European sides fare well in the Club World Cup, and we see that trend continuing with the Blues' superior squad favourites to lift the trophy. Palmeiras will certainly be no pushovers, but we expect the London side to get the job done on Saturday thanks to their sound defensive structure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (7.69%).

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Palmeiras
54.15%	25.59%	20.27%

Both teams to score 44.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69%

57.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86%

78.14%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77%

21.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87%

54.12%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.71%

43.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46%

79.54%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 54.14%

Palmeiras 20.27%

Draw 25.58%

Chelsea	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.14%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.27%