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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Venezuela
2 - 2
Ecuador

Castillo (51'), Hernandez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Preciado (39'), Plata (71')
Valencia (21'), Preciado (45+3'), Caicedo (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawEcuador
30.79%25.28%43.93%
Both teams to score 55.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68%48.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53%70.46%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72%65.27%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03%21.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73%55.26%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 30.79%
    Ecuador 43.93%
    Draw 25.27%
VenezuelaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.58%
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.93%

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