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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
VN

Brazil
3 - 0
Venezuela

Marquinhos (23'), Neymar (64' pen.), Barbosa (89')
Lodi (38'), Barbosa (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manzano (69'), Mago (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 12.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawVenezuela
65.83%22.12%12.05%
Both teams to score 37.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.71%57.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.87%78.13%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17%16.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.83%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.44%54.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.38%87.62%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 65.82%
    Venezuela 12.05%
    Draw 22.12%
BrazilDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 16.36%
2-0 @ 14.58%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.82%
1-1 @ 9.92%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.56%
1-2 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.05%

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