Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.