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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2020 at 12.30am UK
 
VN

Brazil
1 - 0
Venezuela

Firmino (67')
Luiz (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casseres Jr (20'), Machis (76'), Rincon (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.31%) and 3-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.15%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.

Result
BrazilDrawVenezuela
65.29%24.36%10.34%
Both teams to score 28.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.11%66.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.81%85.19%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3%20.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7%53.3%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.46%63.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.64%92.35%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 65.29%
    Venezuela 10.34%
    Draw 24.36%
BrazilDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 20.71%
2-0 @ 16.31%
3-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.29%
0-0 @ 13.15%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 5.96%
1-2 @ 2.13%
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 10.34%


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