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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
 
EN

Brazil
2 - 0
Ecuador

Richarlison (65'), Neymar (90+4' pen.)
Fred (36'), Militao (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preciado (26'), Valencia (54'), Preciado (69'), Dominguez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawEcuador
65.62%22.47%11.91%
Both teams to score 36.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25%58.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72%79.28%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13%47.87%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.29%55.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.7%88.3%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 65.61%
    Ecuador 11.91%
    Draw 22.47%
BrazilDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 16.96%
2-0 @ 14.81%
2-1 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.05%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 65.61%
1-1 @ 9.92%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.68%
1-2 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 11.91%

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