Ecuador
1 - 2
Peru

Plata (90+2')
Caicedo (28'), Dominguez (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cueva (63'), Advincula (88')
Advincula (22'), Lapadula (26'), Aquino (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Peru
58.83%	23.89%	17.27%

Both teams to score 44.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09%

54.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8%

76.19%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54%

18.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35%

49.64%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.6%

45.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.75%

81.25%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 58.82%

Peru 17.27%

Draw 23.89%

Ecuador	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.05% Total : 58.82%	1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.49% Total : 17.27%