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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Rubial
A

Aguilas
1 - 1
Almeria

Almeria win 5-3 on penalties
Uche (58')
Loussoukou (78'), Uche (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Villar (32')
Robles (59')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Aguilas and Almeria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (3.73%).

Result
AguilasDrawAlmeria
7.7%17.54%74.76%
Both teams to score 35.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73%73.27%
Aguilas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.32%90.68%
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82%12.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18%37.82%
Score Analysis
    Aguilas 7.7%
    Almeria 74.75%
    Draw 17.54%
AguilasDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 3.73%
2-1 @ 2%
2-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 7.7%
1-1 @ 7.85%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.54%
0-2 @ 16.21%
0-1 @ 15.4%
0-3 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-4 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 5.8%
1-4 @ 3.05%
0-5 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 74.75%


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