Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (3.73%).