Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Almeria in this match.