Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.08%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
