Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
