Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Caro (40'), Barrios (61'),
Martinez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antonetti (80')
Abdulai (47'), Gonzalez (65'),
Aguza (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Antoniano and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Antoniano had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an Antoniano win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lugo in this match.
| Result |
| Antoniano | Draw | Lugo |
13.23% ( -0.04) | 21.53% ( -0.02) | 65.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.31% ( -0.05) |
| 47.08% ( -0.02) | 52.91% ( 0.01) |
| 25.47% ( -0.01) | 74.52% ( 0.01) |
| 50.08% ( -0.07) | 49.92% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.4% ( -0.05) | 84.6% ( 0.05) |
| 84.47% ( 0.01) | 15.52% ( -0.02) |
