Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 1, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
El Molinón
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Lugo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Lugo |
54.07% ( -0.03) | 26.19% ( 0.1) | 19.74% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( -0.34) |
| 40.14% ( -0.39) | 59.86% ( 0.39) |
| 19.87% ( -0.3) | 80.13% ( 0.3) |
| 77.69% ( -0.18) | 22.31% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.22% ( -0.27) | 55.78% ( 0.27) |
| 54.63% ( -0.31) | 45.37% ( 0.31) |
