Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.73%) and 3-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Granada in this match.
0.27) 
-0.11) 
