Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.24%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (12.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
