Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arenteiro win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arenteiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (13.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Arenteiro	Draw	Burgos
35.87% ( -0.11)	30.57% ( 0.05)	33.56% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.63% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.14% (

-0.13)

66.86% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.83% (

-0.09)

85.17% (

0.09)

Arenteiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

-0.14)

35.45% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.15)

72.21% (

0.15)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.03)

37.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.16% (

-0.03)

73.84% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Arenteiro 35.86%

Burgos 33.56%

Draw 30.56%

Arenteiro	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.56%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 33.56%