Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.01) 
