SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
40.18% ( 0.12) | 28.19% ( -0.01) | 31.63% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.03) | 59.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( 0.02) | 79.81% ( -0.02) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.83% ( -0.1) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.06) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( -0.06) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.63% |
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