Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Alcorcon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.33%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result |
| Burgos | Draw | Alcorcon |
40.33% ( 1.54) | 30.47% ( 0.12) | 29.19% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 39.88% ( -0.83) |
| 32.73% ( -0.72) | 67.27% ( 0.72) |
| 14.55% ( -0.49) | 85.44% ( 0.48) |
| 67.18% ( 0.56) | 32.81% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.62% ( 0.63) | 69.38% ( -0.63) |
| 59.36% ( -1.74) | 40.64% ( 1.74) |
