Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Rico Perez
Grego (35' og.)
Josema (60'),
Nolan (83'), N'Djoli (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nino (19'),
Lopez (51')
Elgezabal (77'), Badiashile (89'),
Gonzalez (90'), Munoz (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Hercules and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result |
| Hercules | Draw | Burgos |
30.56% ( -1.45) | 28.29% ( -0.13) | 41.15% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.1) |
| 39.93% ( 0.11) | 60.07% ( -0.1) |
| 19.71% ( 0.08) | 80.29% ( -0.08) |
| 64.45% ( -1.01) | 35.55% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.68% ( -1.06) | 72.32% ( 1.06) |
| 71.3% ( 0.96) | 28.7% ( -0.96) |
