SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
73.09% ( -3.11) | 17.76% ( 1.51) | 9.15% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -1.23) | 47.92% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -1.14) | 70.09% ( 1.14) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.36% ( -1.16) | 11.64% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.33% ( -2.56) | 36.67% ( 2.56) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.59% ( 3.01) | 54.41% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.47% ( 1.75) | 87.52% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 14.64% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 10.5% ( -1.01)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.85)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 73.07% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.36)Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.76% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.6% Total : 9.15% |
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