Atletico have had their issues this season, and they lost to both Cadiz and Mallorca ahead of the break for the World Cup. Elche have really struggled during the 2022-23 campaign, though, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
-3.11) 
1.51) 
