Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.2%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Burgos |
53.7% ( 0.19) | 27.53% ( -0.16) | 18.77% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 38.05% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.12% ( 0.43) | 64.87% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.19% ( 0.3) | 83.8% ( -0.3) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.28) | 24.66% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0.39) | 59.18% ( -0.39) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.5% ( 0.24) | 49.5% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.69% ( 0.16) | 84.31% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Burgos |
1-0 @ 17.08% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 53.69% | 0-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.77% |
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