SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Eibar |
31.08% ( 0.29) | 29.08% ( 0.15) | 39.84% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.42) | 62.59% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( -0.3) | 82.17% ( 0.31) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.01) | 36.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( -0.01) | 73.31% ( 0.01) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.46) | 30.7% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.55) | 66.95% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.34% Total : 39.84% |
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