SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
32.36% ( -0.1) | 29.58% ( 0.05) | 38.06% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.98% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.03% ( -0.17) | 63.98% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.84% ( -0.12) | 83.17% ( 0.12) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -0.17) | 36.34% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.17) | 73.12% ( 0.18) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.05) | 32.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.99% ( -0.06) | 69.02% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.06% |
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