SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 29.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Leganes |
39.67% ( -0.67) | 30.93% ( 0.41) | 29.41% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 38.9% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.51% ( -1.07) | 68.49% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.75% ( -0.71) | 86.26% ( 0.71) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( -0.98) | 33.88% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( -1.08) | 70.55% ( 1.08) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.41) | 41.17% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( -0.36) | 77.71% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.66% | 0-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.54) 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.91% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.26% Total : 29.4% |
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